Understanding Horizontal Analysis

Understanding Horizontal Analysis, What is Horizontal Analysis

Horizontal Analysis provides businesses a method to examine financial statement entries by looking at the documents’ number for a specific accounting time frame compared to the same length of a historical period for the same accounting line item.

Breaking the Process Down

It’s a way to measure trends and variances by looking at the current year’s values versus the reference year. This helps an analyst figure out if the values increase or decrease. It’s either done on an absolute value or a percentage change basis. The analysis provides a company’s growth and financial position against competitors.

This method is different compared to vertical analysis because vertical analysis looks at a single reporting period and measures the proportional relationship between items, compared to horizontal analysis evaluating multiple periods and multiple ratios for a more comprehensive approach.

Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) require uniform and standardized financial statements for adequate financial statement analysis. This entails consistent accounting practices and fundamental principles being employed annually. Comparability constraints mandates that the business’ financial statements are in a form that permits analysts to evaluate them against other competitors in the same field. This is where horizontal analysis comes into play, creating consistency.  

This analysis determines what impacts a company’s growth over time. For cyclical or seasonal companies, it lets analysts get a handle on what’s normal and what’s not. It also permits identification of variances in different product/business segments and how to project a company’s future performance.

Along with the three financial statements (balance sheet, cash flow statement, and income statement) providing working outcomes, it can similarly identify issues and strengths by looking at certain metrics like profit margins or the rate of inventory changing hands.  

If a company reports higher earnings per share due to increases in revenue or lowers its figures of the COGS (cost of goods sold), analysts looking at the interest coverage ratio or cash flow-to-debt ratio, for example, can use horizontal analysis to gauge if a business has enough liquidity for continued operations.

Real World Example of Horizontal Analysis

Let’s say Company X had revenue of $100 million in the previous year and accounts receivable of $200 million during the “base year.” This is compared to revenue of $300 million in the present year and accounts receivable of $600 million. Based on these numbers, the calculations are as follows:

Revenue Comparison

[($300 million – $100 million)/$100 million)] x 100 = 200 percent

Accounts Receivable

[($600 million – $300 million)/$300 million)] x 100 = 100 percent

When it comes to interpreting horizontal analysis, the process needs context to ensure it’s used appropriately. The most prominent consideration is understanding what contributed to the base year’s numbers and the current year’s numbers. Did the company sell off a segment that increased profitability, or did they face massive lawsuits or spend excessive amounts of capex to ensure their viability and competitiveness in the upcoming years?

The calculation is straightforward, but being able to delve into what happened – and why – is the role of the business owner and investor to determine the true health of the business.

Windfall Planning Makes Sense for Everyone

Windfall Planning, what are Financial windfalls

Financial windfalls are not uncommon. Every year, entrepreneurs who build their businesses from scratch sell them for millions in profit. In 2024 alone, state lotteries paid out a combined $70.2 billion to prize winners. Additionally, over the next 20 years, around $84.4 trillion in wealth transfers are expected to take place, with $72.6 trillion of this going to heirs and the other $11.9 trillion going to charities.

After scrimping and saving for years, a large windfall of money can seem like a dream come true. However, there are many factors to consider when receiving a substantial sum of money all at once. The key to making a windfall last beyond initial purchases is to think about what you want your money to do for you. If it’s enough to substantially change your life, then you should take some time to figure out what you want your new life to look like. The bigger the windfall, the more time and professionals you’ll need to consult to determine how to manage your assets going forward.

The first step is to answer three questions:

  1. What are your short- and long-term financial goals? (And have they – or should they – change after learning about your windfall?)
  2. Who should be involved in the financial decision-making? (e.g., spouse/family, financial advisor, tax expert, estate planning attorney)
  3. What is the nature of the funds to be received? (e.g., cash, investments, property, a business, etc.)

Do not be rash with large sums of money. It can take three months or more to set up certain accounts, trusts, and various strategies for receiving and managing a windfall. Take plenty of time to make decisions and conduct transactions appropriately to ensure they minimize tax liability and meet your short- and long-term goals.

Speaking of which, start out by making a priority list. It’s a good idea to use a cash windfall to meet the first two goals in the list below before considering other options.

  • If you don’t already have one, establish a three to six-month emergency fund in a high-yield, liquid account.
  • Pay off debt such as credit cards, auto loans, medical bills, perhaps even your mortgage.
  • Consider the merits of allocating funds toward a variety of expenses instead of spending it all in one place. For example, consider the impact of appropriating money to investments in your house, your children’s education and retirement. Spreading your windfall across multiple accounts allows those dollars to grow even if you do not continue contributing – getting started with a little is better than having nothing growing toward those goals.
  • Consider how to use the money to make more money. For example, invest in a business or purchase property for rental income and/or equity growth.
  • If you’re thinking of making charitable gifts, consider how you can honor your benefactor (assuming the windfall comes from an inheritance) by donating money in their name. You might be able to offset your own tax liability by transferring a portion of the windfall directly to the charitable entity. Also consider creating your own private foundation or directing a donor-advised fund to manage the assets and donate to specific charities; this tactic enables the assets to continue growing for future charitable donations.

Family Business

Should you inherit a family business or partnership, consult with an experienced tax advisor to decide whether to continue participating in the business interest or even use it as collateral for other investments. This strategy positions the asset for continued growth so you don’t have to cash out and pay taxes on gains in order to use the money.

Lottery or Structured Settlement

If you win big with the lottery, you’ll need to decide whether to receive the assets as a lump sum or an annuity. Be aware that when you take the prize money all at once, the IRS automatically withholds 24 percent of the winnings off the top. Furthermore, if your windfall tops $640,600 for a single filer or $768,700 for a married couple filing jointly (2026), it will be subject to federal income tax at the 37 percent top tax rate. That money also may be subject to state and municipal taxes based on local laws. In some high-income-tax states, that could mean you lose half of the winnings.

If you opt to receive money as an annuity (i.e., guaranteed income spread out over time, such as 30 years), the total payout might be cumulatively higher because it spreads out your tax liability. Depending on your long-term income trajectory, you could avoid the highest income tax bracket. Other windfalls that function like a lottery payout include structured settlements from civil lawsuits (e.g., personal injury, wrongful death)and retirement pension plans.

Depending on the amount of money coming your way, it is highly advisable to consult with financial planning professionals, because how fund transfers are conducted and how much money you withdraw each year can greatly influence your tax bill. It is important to solicit one or more opinions to ensure that your financial moves address both your current and future objectives.

The IRS Could Owe You Money Thanks to a Pandemic-Era Court Ruling

IRS Could Owe You Money, COVID Court Ruling

Here’s something that flew under the radar for most people: a court decision from late last year could put money back in your pocket if you got hit with IRS penalties during COVID. But you need to act fast! For some taxpayers, the deadline to file a claim is July 10.

What This Case Is Actually About

Remember when COVID was declared a federal disaster? That designation wasn’t just symbolic. It triggered real protections under the tax code, specifically Section 7508A, which lets the IRS push back deadlines and waive penalties when taxpayers are caught up in a disaster. We’re talking about failure-to-file and failure-to-pay penalties here, and those fees can add up to almost 50 percent of what you already owe, which is brutal!

The Kwong v. United States decision came down from the Court of Federal Claims in November 2025, and it changed the game. The court said the nationwide COVID emergency created a mandatory postponement running from Jan. 20, 2020, through July 10, 2023. Everything that came due in that window should have been bumped to July 11, 2023. In other words, a lot of people may have been penalized when they shouldn’t have been.

This Got Real on April 30

The case had been percolating quietly until the National Taxpayer Advocate (NTA) made some noise about it on April 30. That’s when things got interesting. According to the NTA, tens of millions of taxpayers could be eligible for refunds. Not just on the penalties themselves, but on the interest that piled up on top of those penalties.

The NTA isn’t being shy about this either. The office has pushed hard for the IRS to apply relief broadly instead of making people jump through hoops. They want systemic fixes, not case-by-case battles. And they’ve asked Congress to make sure procedural red tape doesn’t rob people of money they are owed.

There’s another wrinkle worth knowing about. Some refunds issued during 2020 through 2023 may have shortchanged taxpayers on interest because the IRS treated their returns as late. If Kwong holds up, you might be able to claim that missing interest, too.

Expats Had It Especially Rough

If you were living overseas when the pandemic hit, you know the chaos was next level. Borders slammed shut with no warning. People got stranded in countries they were just passing through. Others couldn’t get back to the places they’d been living for years.

Good luck reaching your accountant when consulates are closed, mail isn’t moving, and you’re dealing with a 12-hour time zone difference. Some folks couldn’t access their bank accounts. Others couldn’t get basic documents. And plenty of people were simply stuck, unable to go anywhere, when their filing deadlines rolled around.

Slapping penalties on taxpayers who were dealing with all of that? It misses the point entirely. The disaster relief rules exist for exactly these situations. The NTA has been clear: fair treatment means recognizing what people were actually going through.

You Need to File a Protective Claim

Here’s the practical part. If you want to preserve your right to get this money back, you have to file something called a protective claim. Think of it as a placeholder that keeps your options open while the legal dust settles.

For many people, the deadline is July 10, 2026, though it depends on the tax year involved. Don’t wait until the last minute to figure this out.

The good news is the paperwork isn’t complicated. You can use IRS Form 843 or just file an amended return. You need to list the tax years you’re claiming and note that your refund depends on how the Kwong case plays out. You don’t have to calculate the exact dollar amount right now. The whole point is just to get yourself on record before time runs out.

A Few Limitations to Know About

This relief is specifically about federal income taxes under the Internal Revenue Code. If you’re worried about Report of Foreign Bank and Financial Accounts (FBAR) penalties, that’s a different animal. FBARs fall under the Bank Secrecy Act, so Kwong doesn’t automatically help there. That said, you might still have a reasonable cause argument based on the same COVID disruptions.

State taxes? Every state did its own thing. Most offered some pandemic extensions, but those programs were separate and usually more limited than what we’re talking about here.

Conclusion

If there’s any chance this applies to you, file that protective claim now. Especially if you were overseas during the pandemic years. Once that deadline passes, the door closes for good.

Understanding Cost of Goods Manufactured

Understanding Cost of Goods Manufactured, What is Cost of Goods Manufactured, what is COGM

When it comes to the latest report for March 2026 manufactured goods orders, according to the United States Census Bureau’s May 4 report, the government agency reported a 1.5 percent bump in orders for the nation’s manufacturers, growing to $630.4 billion. Understanding concepts like Cost of Goods Manufactured (COGM) is essential to smooth operations.

The cost of goods manufactured (COGM) reflects the total manufacturing costs a company incurs during a particular accounting period to complete goods. It includes direct materials used, direct labor, and manufacturing overhead. COGM helps businesses manage inventory levels and serves as a key input for calculating the cost of goods sold (COGS) reported on the income statement.

COGM Formula:

The standard formula is:

COGM = Beginning Work-in-Process (WIP) Inventory + Total Manufacturing Costs – Ending Work-in-Process (WIP) inventory

Defined as:

Total Manufacturing Costs = Direct Materials Used + Direct Labor + Manufacturing Overhead

Hypothetical Example:

Based on the following numbers, the COGM would be calculated as follows:

  • Direct Materials Used: $200,000
  • Direct Labor: $75,000
  • Manufacturing (Production) Overhead: $120,000
  • Beginning WIP Inventory: $20,000
  • Ending WIP Inventory: $60,000

First, calculate Total Manufacturing Costs: $200,000 + $75,000 + $120,000 = $395,000

Then:

COGM = 20,000 + 395,000 – 60,000 = 355,000

So, the Cost of Goods Manufactured is $355,000.

Interpreting COGM:

The first step is to analyze how each input contributes to the result. This involves reviewing direct materials, direct labor, and overhead to determine the complete production costs for the accounting period. By evaluating each component’s contribution, companies can better project manufacturing capacity and cost-effectiveness.

Direct Materials Used in Production

Direct Materials Used = Beginning Raw Materials Inventory + Purchase of Raw Materials – Ending Raw Materials Inventory

This amount is then incorporated into the Total Manufacturing Costs (and ultimately the WIP inventory) shown above.

Calculating Direct Labor and Manufacturing Overhead:

Direct labor costs are determined from time logs or clock-ins (hours worked × hourly rate). Manufacturing overhead includes indirect production costs such as factory utilities, depreciation, and supervision.

Translating COGM to Cost of Goods Sold:

Once calculated, COGM is transferred to the Finished Goods Inventory account. Finished Goods Inventory consists of completed products ready for sale to customers. The standard relationship is:

COGS = Beginning Finished Goods Inventory + COGM – Ending Finished Goods Inventory

(or equivalently: Ending Finished Goods Inventory = Beginning Finished Goods Inventory + COGM – COGS)

Conclusion:

COGM shows whether production costs are too high or too low relative to sales. For example, if one business generates $2,000,000 in revenue with $1,500,000 in COGS (25% gross margin), while another has $1,500,000 in revenue but only $750,000 in COGS (50% gross margin), the second company demonstrates stronger profitability.

Understanding COGM enables businesses to optimize costs related to labor, overhead, and materials, ultimately improving net income and operational efficiency. When calculating and reporting COGM, it is essential for businesses to apply these concepts accurately in their accounting and bookkeeping practices.

Tax Considerations for Data Center Projects in the Age of AI

Tax Considerations for Data Center Projects

Artificial intelligence is driving an unprecedented surge in data center construction. Developers, private equity sponsors and their tax advisors are navigating a complicated web of questions that touch everything from ownership structure to site selection to power sourcing. Get the early decisions wrong and the tax consequences can follow a project for years.

Why REITs Have Become the Structure of Choice

Private equity has increasingly turned to real estate investment trusts when backing data center projects. Structure a REIT correctly, and you sidestep corporate-level taxation entirely. Foreign investors get an even better deal. Sovereign wealth funds and foreign pension funds can participate without any obligation to file U.S. tax returns. Data centers, with their heavy real estate footprint, slot into the REIT framework more naturally than many other asset classes.

That said, the fit is not seamless. Related party rent rules create traps for the unwary. Public pension funds and sovereign wealth funds need to confirm they do not hold stakes in both a data center REIT and its tenant. Another wrinkle involves equipment. Data centers demand significant upfront investment in personal property that may not count as qualifying REIT assets. The tax code requires that 75 percent of a REIT’s total asset value consist of real estate, cash, and government securities at each quarter’s close. Developers often must segregate personal property until the REIT builds up enough good assets to clear that hurdle.

The Power and Water Challenge

Reliable power and water access have become one of the toughest operational problems in the industry. Demand is so intense that many developers are generating their own electricity on-site. The tax treatment of these co-located power facilities depends heavily on the energy source and delivery method. Get it wrong, and the generation asset may not qualify for REIT treatment.

Solar photovoltaic systems sit on relatively solid ground under existing guidance. Nuclear and natural gas, which many see as the next wave of data center power, do not. Current rules leave significant uncertainty around whether these sources can work within a REIT structure.

Legislative and Executive Developments

The IRS priority guidance plan for 2025 and 2026 contains no projects aimed squarely at data centers. Regulation section 1.856-10(g), finalized in 2016, includes an example analyzing customized electrical and telecommunications systems in a data center context, but practitioners continue pushing for clearer rules on alternative energy.

Congress may offer relief on the waterfront. In April 2025, Representative Darin LaHood of Illinois proposed a new section 48F that would provide a 30 percent credit for qualifying water reuse projects, including on-site recycling systems at data centers. With U.S. data centers projected to consume 33 billion gallons of water by 2028, the bill attracted 21 cosponsors and bipartisan support.

The White House has made its priorities clear as well. The Trump administration’s July 2025 AI action plan established a goal of achieving global dominance in artificial intelligence, with infrastructure as one of three pillars. An executive order, issued July 23, 2025, focused specifically on reducing federal regulatory obstacles to data center construction.

Conclusion and OBBBA Incentives Worth Watching

Several provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act benefit data center projects, even though lawmakers did not design them with that sector in mind. The return of 100 percent bonus depreciation under section 168(k) matters enormously for an industry requiring massive capital outlays.

Rural Opportunity Zones sweeten the economics further. Investments in qualified rural opportunity funds now qualify for a 30 percent basis step-up after five years, triple the 10 percent available in standard zones. A special rule targeting improvements to existing structures in rural areas cuts the substantial improvement threshold to 50 percent of adjusted basis, compared to more than 100 percent for non-rural funds.

Developers and investors evaluating new projects will find that entity structure, site selection, and the shifting regulatory environment all interact in ways that directly affect the bottom line. Getting the tax picture right from the start remains essential.

Understanding the Benefit-Cost Ratio (BCR)

What is BCR benefit-cost ratio

When it comes to making an informed investment decision, one way is to use the benefit-cost ratio (BCR).

Benefit-Cost Ratio Defined

The BCR calculates how profitable a project’s (or an asset’s) cash flows are via a present value cash flow analysis. It takes the value of all incoming cash flows and weighs it against the same project’s or asset’s outgoing cash flows. If the calculation results in a BCR higher than 1, then more than likely that asset and/or project will provide a positive outcome.

How the Benefit-Cost Ratio is Calculated

=  ((Moneys received / 1 + discount rate) ^ Cash flow time frames)) / ((Moneys expended / 1 + discount rate) ^ Cash flow time frames))

Money received can also be referred to as the cash flows’ benefits. Money expended is also referred to as cash flow. This formula essentially divides the discounted cash flows by the discounted cash outflows. It’s important to mention that the discount rate can also be referred to as the business’s or investor’s required return.

The following is an example of the different levels of cash flows:

  Start 1 Year Later 2 Years Later 3 Years Later
Outflows -$8,000 -$16,000 -$20,000 -$27,500
In-Flows $80,000 $120,000
Net Cash Flow -$8,000 -$16,000 $60,000 $92,500

Based on the calculations, the following illustrates the results for both Discounted Costs and Discounted Benefits:

Time Frame Discounted Costs Discounted Benefits
Start $8,000 0
After 1 Year -$16,000 / (1 + 10 percent)1 = $14,545.45 0
After 2 Years -$20,000 / (1 + 10 percent)2 = $16,528.93 $80,000 / (1 + 10 percent)2 = $66,115.70
After 3 Years -$27,500 / (1 + 10 percent)3 = $20,661.16 $92,500 / (1 + 10 percent)3 = $69,496.62

The final calculation sums up the Discounted Benefits and the Discounted Costs and then divides them, resulting in:

$135,612.32 / $59,735.54 = 2.27

Analyzing the Results

The resulting figure means that $2.27 is expected to be generated per $1 invested. It can be used by both internal stakeholders and potential external investors to gauge if the asset or project is worth the risk.

If the BCR came back at less than 1, it would indicate an Internal Rate of Return (IRR) that is lower than the discount rate. This reading would also show that the net present value of the project or asset is projected to be negative.

If the BCR is 1, this essentially means the net pre-set value is zero. The IRR would be equal to the discount rate.

If, however, the BCR is more than 1 – as in the example above – it means the IRR is higher than the discount rate, and the net present value is more than zero.

It’s important to consider that these are only assumptions. If, for example, the cash flow forecasting is incorrect or the discount rate is off, the ratio can provide wide variances.

Conclusion

Whether it’s an internal stakeholder or a potential investor, this ratio can and should be used as part of a holistic financial analysis program.

6 Tips for Your Mid-Year Check In

6 Tips for Your Mid-Year Check In

It might be hard to believe, but yes, it’s almost the middle of the year and the perfect time to take a look at how you’re doing financially: are you fiscally fit or do you need a few adjustments? Whether it’s saving more, paying down debt, or prepping for retirement, you still have time to effect change. Here are a few ways to get started.

Review Your 2026 Financial Goals

Kind of a no-brainer, but ask yourself:

  • Have I saved as much as I planned?
  • How’s my progress at paying off debt?
  • Have my priorities changed since the new year?

In addition to these things, other important goals might include building your emergency fund (broken dishwasher, for instance); saving for a vacation; and finally, the certainty no one can escape – tax preparation.

Go Over Your budget and Spending

Your habits might have shifted over the past few months, so places to put a lens on might be:

  • Where have I increased spending?
  • Do I really need all those subscriptions?
  • Can I pay a little more on debt?

In the second half of the year, other things to consider include insurance renewals, back-to-school expenses, and year-end medical costs.

Revisit Your Retirement Contributions

This might be far away or near soon. No matter, it’s critical to keep an eye on the following things:

  • Your 401(k) or employer retirement plan contributions
  • Employer match opportunities
  • IRA contributions

If you can increase funding for any of these, now’s the time to do so. Retirement comes along more quickly than you think.

Give Your Employee Benefits a Looksee

Take time to go over:

  • HSA or FSA contributions
  • Health insurance
  • Life insurance and disability coverage

You might have other benefits, of course, to review. And while many people wait until open enrollment to give these a think, you don’t have to be one of them. Take action now to amend them so you’ll be better prepared for the rest of the year.

Start Your Taxes for Next Year

Between now and July, you can get a jumpstart by planning ahead – and you won’t be stressed when it’s actually tax time. Taking a look now can help you:

  • Estimate your taxes
  • Find ways to reduce your taxable income
  • Plan retirement contributions before year-end.

Recalibrate Your Plan for the Rest of 2026

So now that you’ve taken inventory of your finances, you can adjust for the remaining months. Your new plan might include:

  • Setting up an automatic transfer to savings – it’s so easy, and you’ll never miss it
  • Increase retirement contributions – even 2 percent makes a difference
  • Concentrate on one debt to pay off.

The idea is not to change everything all at once. Your goal should be to take small steps so you can move forward with confidence and finish the year strong. All it takes is a little time. And as we know, time is money. Make the last six months of 2026 count!

Sources

https://www.benefitandfinancial.com/blog/mid-year-financial-review-are-you-on-track-for-2026

What to Expect with an IRS Audit

What to Expect with an IRS Audit

If the IRS sends notice that you’re being audited, you’re likely to become anxious. However, not all audits mean you did something wrong. In most cases, it is simply a matter of verifying information on a tax return or perhaps correcting a minor error. Knowing what to expect – and how to respond – can help alleviate stress and make the audit more manageable.

An IRS audit (also referred to as an examination) is a review of your records to confirm that the information on your tax return was reported accurately and follows tax law. The best way to prepare for an audit is to respond on time, present organized and complete records, be cooperative, and communicate professionally.

Technically, most audits are triggered via an automated scoring system referred to as the DIF, which stands for Discriminant Information Function. The system flags something on your tax return that stood out. This could be inconsistencies, missing income, unusually high deductions, or inputs that don’t match information the IRS already has. Here are three key facts about IRS timing for audits:

  • The IRS generally looks back three years based on the statute of limitations
  • Most audits are related to returns filed within the past two years
  • In cases of substantial errors, audits can extend up to the last six years, especially in cases where it is believed that more than 25 percent of gross income was omitted from the filing
  • There is no statute of limitations in cases of fraud or failure to file

The Audit Process

Almost all IRS audits start with a letter stating that your return has been selected for examination. This notice will be sent by mail – not a phone call, text, or email. The letter will include the name of your assigned reviewer, his or her IRS identification number, and phone number. You should call the IRS directly to verify this information, as scammers are known to impersonate the IRS to steal money or personal data.

You may be asked to provide a variety of specific documents based on what issue(s) triggered the audit. Be sure to provide copies, not originals. Depending on your situation, the requested documents could include:

  • Income records
  • Investment statements
  • Bank forms
  • Receipts and bills
  • Canceled checks
  • Legal documents (such as divorce or custody agreements)
  • Loan agreements and settlement statements
  • Travel logs, diaries, or ticket stubs
  • Medical and dental records
  • Theft or loss of documentation (insurance claims, photos, police reports)
  • Employment records
  • Schedule K-1 forms for partnerships or S corporations

The following are the three types of IRS Audits:

Correspondence Audit – These are the least complex and are conducted entirely by mail. Sometimes the IRS simply identifies a math error or missing income and asks for payment or clarification. You can either pay the amount due or respond with documentation if you believe the IRS is incorrect.

Office Audit – An office audit requires you to visit an IRS office with the requested records. You will receive an Information Document Request (IDR) form detailing what to bring. Showing up with organized records can help resolve these audits quickly.

Field Audit – The field audit is the most extensive. An IRS agent will come to your home or business to review records. Although you will receive an IDR in advance, the agent may decide to escalate the review if he notices any “large, unusual or questionable” (LUQ) items.

The key points to remember are that poor recordkeeping and/or lack of cooperation tend to trigger a more detailed and time-consuming audit.

Once the Audit Is Complete

After the audit, the IRS will issue a report describing its findings. It may determine that no changes are necessary to your return; that you owe additional tax; or that you may be owed a refund. Should you disagree with the findings, you have options:

  • Request to meet with an IRS manager
  • Use mediation or alternative dispute resolution
  • File an appeal with the IRS
  • Take the case to court if necessary

If you agree with the audit findings, you’ll need to sign the examination report and choose from various payment options if you owe any taxes.

Understanding the EV/2P Ratio

What are the EV/2P Ratio

When it comes to raw materials, especially for fossil fuels, it’s essential to evaluate existing and potential production capabilities for such companies. Using the EV/2P Ratio is a powerful tool when evaluating fossil fuel-related companies.

Defining the Ratio

This ratio is calculated by dividing a business’ enterprise value into the company’s reserves. It provides financial analysts, investors and internal business stakeholders with a snapshot of a company’s reserves and the business’ likelihood of preserving operation growth. This standardizes valuations, thereby allowing analysts to compare company-to-company financials.

How to Calculate EV/2P

Enterprise Value (EV) / Total 2P Reserves

Defined as: Enterprise Value = Equity (open market price) + Debt (open market price) – Cash and Cash Equivalents

2P = Proven and Probable Reserves

Illustrating the Calculation

If a company’s capitalization is $300 million and debt consisting of $225 million, along with $30 million for proven reserve value, $20 million in probable reserves, and $25 million in possible reserves, the company’s resulting enterprise value becomes:

$300 million + $225 million = $525 million

The 2P reserves is:

$30 million + $20 million = $50 million

Plugging the numbers into the original formula, it’s: $525 million / $50 million = 10.5x (multiple)

Based on the resulting 10.5 multiple, this ratio provides a current valuation that translates to for every $1 in 2P reserves equals $10.50 of a market valuation.

Reserves are how internal/external stakeholders value the production/growth potential of oil/gas companies. It’s broken down into two categories:

1.) P1 are proven reserves, which are the highest caliber reserves. There’s at least a 9 in 10 percent likelihood (or more) of recoverable reserves. It’s also known as P90.

2.) Probable reserve (also known as P50) has an even chance of either non-recoverability or realized recoverability. This is the next best, but a lesser grade than P1.

These two resource categories are referred to as 2P.

Putting it in Perspective

Depending on the company’s calculated EV/2P Ratio, the business owner or investor can determine a course of action to take.

If it’s higher, it’s more highly valued than its competitors based on the same level of 2P reserves; therefore, the company’s shares are more expensive against its peers. This can give investors pause because other undervalued stocks are more attractive due to a higher likelihood they’ll appreciate.

However, if a company is valued higher, but the company is more efficient or a higher performer, investors also may be interested because its production and earnings justify the higher valuation. That’s why looking at the metric in a silo is not effective.

Debt Concerns

When it comes to debt and analyzing this ratio, fossil fuel businesses are often highly levered since they use massive sums of debt for research and development and continued operations.

Since the EV value looks at debt and equity concurrently, analyzing a company’s capital structure is essential when comparing companies’ valuations. Essentially, if a company has too much debt and if interest rates suddenly increase or it can’t service debt if the price of crude plummets, it may run into debt servicing issues.

While this ratio is effective in providing a level playing field for analytical uses, it’s important to remember that it needs to be used in conjunction with comprehensive financial analysis.

Version 6

The ROI of Autonomy: Measuring the Business Value of Agentic AI Workflows

Measuring the Business Value of Agentic AI Workflows

Businesses are moving beyond basic automation into a new era of intelligent, self-directed systems. While automation helps with streamlining repetitive tasks, agentic AI workflows enable systems to make decisions, take action, and continuously improve with minimal human oversight.

Most businesses adopting agentic AI have no structured way to prove it is working. Although they can feel the difference, they can’t measure it. Without measurement, return on investment (ROI) conversations stall, budgets get cut, and genuinely transformative tools get shelved.

What Makes Agentic AI Workflows Different

Agentic AI workflows are designed to operate with a degree of independence. Unlike traditional automation, which follows predefined rules, agentic systems are goal-oriented.

Once given an objective, they plan, execute, adjust, and complete tasks across multiple steps, tools, and decisions without requiring human intervention. For example, an agentic workflow may pull data from multiple systems, analyze it, draft a report, flag anomalies, and email a summary.

Another example is a supply chain AI agent that not only highlights anomalies but can also reorder stock, renegotiate pricing thresholds, and even reroute logistics as these actions fall within predefined objectives.

Agentic AI can also improve efficiency and productivity by identifying inefficiencies in workflows and adjusting them in real time.

For businesses facing rising labor costs and increasing demand for speed and personalization, this evolution is more than a technological advancement. It offers a strategic advantage.

Why ROI Measurement Is Different for Agentic AI

Traditional ROI models are rather straightforward as they compare the cost of a system to the output generated. ROI on projects using traditional models is measured based on cost savings, headcount reduction and cycle-time compression. However, agentic AI is more dynamic because the systems improve over time. This means the output isn’t static – rather, it compounds. These systems also reduce the need for ongoing supervision, operate continuously, and often uncover efficiencies that were not initially anticipated.

As a result, the ROI of agentic AI is not just immediate cost savings but also includes long-term gains. These gains include improved decision-making, faster execution, higher productivity, strategic agility and the ability to scale operations without a proportional increase in cost. Measuring this kind of value requires a broader, more forward-looking approach.

Key ROI Drivers of Agentic AI workflows

  1. Operational efficiency – unlike conventional automation that is vulnerable to dynamic environments due to fixed rules, agentic AI responds to changes automatically. These systems continuously learn and optimize, delivering ongoing improvements without additional manual effort.
  2. Real-time responsiveness – customers expect real-time interaction. Agentic workflows enable this through systems that are always on and context-aware.
  3. Scalability – businesses can handle increased demand without a corresponding increase in operational costs or headcount, allowing more efficient growth.
  4. Cross-departmental reach – Agentic AI agents can seamlessly connect workflows across different departments like HR, IT, and finance. This reduces operational friction between teams and enhances overall efficiency.
  5. Productivity gains – Agentic AI can operate 24/7, completing tasks faster and with greater consistency than human teams. This allows employees to focus on higher-value work, increasing overall organizational productivity.
  6. Cost reduction – by automating complex workflows, businesses can reduce reliance on manual labor, minimize errors, and eliminate inefficiencies. This can translate into significant savings.
  7. Revenue growth – Agentic AI enables faster go-to-market strategies and more personalized customer experiences. This can directly impact conversion rates and revenue.
  8. Improved decision quality – With access to real-time data and advanced analytics, agentic AI systems can make quick, informed decisions. This reduces human bias and enhances accuracy in areas like forecasting, inventory management, and customer engagement.

Strategies for Evaluating Agentic AI ROI

To measure agentic AI ROI, businesses need a structured approach that connects AI deployment to business outcomes.

  1. Identify high-impact workflows – repetitive, resource-heavy processes like IT support, sales operations, or compliance.
  2. Establish baseline measurements by documenting current costs, completion times, error rates, and headcount before deployment.
  3. Compare pre- and post-implementation performance by checking utilization rates, tasks completed, and infrastructure costs to confirm operational sustainability.
  4. Estimate agentic impact by projecting improvements in speed, cost, throughput, and quality.
  5. If implementing agentic AI in phases, use control groups to isolate its impact from other organizational changes.
  6. Measure real business outcomes, including cost reductions, revenue growth, and productivity gains.

Conclusion

Traditional automation delivered value by reducing manual effort. Agentic AI, on the other hand, reduces decision latency, operational friction, and coordination costs. Therefore, AI agents’ ROI is not defined by savings alone. Its real value lies in the ability to generate compounding returns across multiple dimensions of a business. By adopting a broader view of ROI, organizations can better assess impact, build stronger adoption cases, and identify new opportunities for optimization.